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Technology Moves Ahead, But Will It Leave Many Behind?

Tuesday, September 22nd, 2009

The September 14, 2009 announcement of Intuit’s purchase of Mint (see link*) is yet another confirmation of the free market’s value for technology. As Dan Sullivan notes in the May 2009 issue of The Global Thinker, “the downturn in the economy is causing an upturn in the use of business intelligence software.” In theory, this is a merger that provides customers/users with a tremendous ability to quickly and accurately know and manage their financial condition.

But it should be very apparent that not everyone is using technology for economic advancement. Call it human nature, the 80-20 rule, or a byproduct of the struggling American education system, but for many people, the primary use of technology is entertainment – it’s a new cell phone with text and picture capabilities, or the latest video console to play the most realistic virtual sports games. Using technology to better manage my finances? That’s boring. Besides, the debit card tells me when I’m overdrawn. What’s the point?

So, while the masses become ever-more amused, the diligent few are applying the same technological advances to amass greater wealth. Don’t think this is true? Consider that stats from the IRS regarding incomes and tax collections reported by the Tax Foundation in a July 30, 2009 summary:

 

In 2007, the top 1 percent of tax returns paid 40.4 percent of all federal income taxes and earned 22.8 percent of adjusted gross income. Both those figures – share of income and share of taxes paid – are significantly higher than they were in 2004 when the top 1 percent earned 19 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI) and paid 36.9percent of federal individual income taxes.

Simply put, a smaller percentage of Americans are increasing their real earnings, and at a faster rate than everyone else. This is not definitive demographic breakdown, but a reasonable empirical conclusion would be that the “accelerated earners” are applying their efforts and capital to growth areas in the economy, and in almost all growth areas, technology is a major player. Technology provides owners with better feedback on sales, production costs and inventory. Technology results in greater precision in manufacturing. Technology delivers real-time reports to help businesses respond to market changes.

Every one of those statements about technology could apply to individual finance as well. And for those truly interested in reaching their financial mountaintop, technology can provide essential tools. But you have to use them!

And for a lot of people, implementation is a problem. Which is where tech-savvy Prosperity Economic Advisors(TM) can help. They either offer proprietary financial management programs, or can help you customize a consumer-based program like Mint to fit your situation. Either way, when you have accurate, automatically updated financial information at your fingertips, you are in a better position to make good financial decisions, no matter how small. And a multitude of wise choices about little things inevitably leads to success on a larger scale.

There are all sorts of reasons why people choose not to use technology to manage their money. But whatever the reason, those who don’t take advantage of technology run the risk of being left behind. They will be too slow, too late, too uninformed to fully capitalize on opportunities or avoid financial loss.

Some social observers see technologies like the Internet, cell phones and personal computers as leveling agents in society, in that these devices allow more people greater access to more of the same things. But technology also serves as a polarizer, causing greater separation among groups that were already distinctly different. Eventually, the advantages accrued to the users of technology make it almost impossible for non-users to be part of the discussion.

Here’s a prediction: Five years from now, if you’re not using some sort of personal financial management program with instant-update capabilities, it means you don’t have a financial program worth managing.

On the other hand, if you’re one of those people who is going to want financial technology five years from now, why not get started on using something today?

 *Link for Mint Merger:

http://www.mint.com/press/intuit-to-acquire-mint-com/?utm_source=mint&utm_medium=email&utm_term=press&utm_campaign=intuit

Posted in Economics, Money, Prosperity, free market, mixed economy | 1 Comment »

The View From the Mountaintops: Why It Makes a Difference – Part I

Monday, July 27th, 2009

What you see depends in part on where you stand. Whether you are in the valley or on the mountaintop, you may be able to see the sun, the sky, the rivers and the mountains. But how you see these things will be affected by your location. The view from the mountaintops will be different - even if you are looking at the same thing.

This difference in what you see depending on where you stand applies not only to scenic vistas but to the pursuit of Prosperity. And we believe there are good reasons for seeing and understanding the Mountaintops perspective on Prosperity, even if the other perspectives (from in the valleys or the hills) are valid. Here are a few thoughts to encourage you to take a look at the Mountaintops perspective.

Success is rare and Prosperity is not the default option in life. A quick survey of the human condition (from whatever vantage point) should be enough to confirm that success, in any endeavor, is not the norm for humanity. People don’t “naturally succeed;” they don’t automatically learn to read, grasp algebra, build a skyscraper, write computer code, or make fortune. Rather success is developed, through a combination of passion, education and effort. And because success requires passion, education and effort, not everyone succeeds.

But some people do.

This information (that success is not the norm, but that some people do succeed) prompts a simple question:

If you want to be successful, who should you study and perhaps emulate?

The obvious answer is “Those who have been successful,” right?

But quite often, this logical conclusion is rarely pursued or applied. Instead, the focus often changes to “why aren’t the rest of us successful?” Instead of trying to understand the view from the Mountaintops, many people are saying, “why can’t I see the same thing from down here in the valley?”

You may think this is a subtle distinction, but it has a huge impact.

Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein are the authors of Nudge, a 2008 book with the subtitle “Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth and Happiness.” The book is a behaviorists’ perspective on how to guide, prod - or “nudge” - people toward a beneficial decision or behavior that they might not be able to make own their own.

One of the basic premises of the authors is that most people have little or no chance to make the right choices, even if they want to. They are too busy, too ignorant, too distracted, too lazy, too emotional - just “too human” - to make good decisions about their finances, their health, their relationships.

Since this is the case, most people would benefit from external nudges to make the right decision easier. In what Thaler and Sunstein characterize as “libertarian paternalism,” these external nudges would be provided by governments and social institutions, usually in the form of incentives or default options.

Automatic enrollment of new employees in an employer’s 401(k) is an application of this thinking. Rather than offering participation during an open enrollment period each calendar year, employees are automatically enrolled. Participation is not mandatory, but the employee must initiate the decision to not participate, by filling contacting Human Resources, filling out a form, etc. Studies show that inertia tends to prevail with most people - they do what’s easiest, and tend to keep doing what they’ve been doing - so they once enrolled, they tend not to opt out. Instead, they get used to having the deductions taken from their paycheck, and accept their participation in the retirement plan as a good thing.

According to the behaviorists, if there wasn’t the “nudge” of automatic enrollment, participation in a retirement savings plan wouldn’t happen for many people. And indirectly, the statistics validate this assessment, because 401(k) participation is higher when employers make participation the default option.

This “nudging” might seem relatively benign. Behaviorists would argue that most people are better off because of the nudge. But there’s something missing in the conversation:

What if you’re not “most people?”

Thaler and Sunstein note that numerous behavioral studies show it is human nature to follow the herd - if the group believes something, the individual will often follow, even if it conflicts with his own assessment. Hence, the desirability of having “choice architects” arrange things so that the group will choose the “right” choice.

But even these tests note that while the majority may be swayed, some are not. Most people may follow the herd, most people may make poor decisions, but some do not. And they don’t need nudges.

Mountaintops attempts to offer the wisdom, experiences and perspectives of those people who, for whatever reason, have already grasped that they want to be different, want to be better, want to reach their full potential.

If you don’t want to be most people, Mountaintops is a place where you can explore how to be different. While the perspectives “most people” have may be valid, we seek to be a vital source of “alternative” information, because we believe that when you see things differently, you may like the view a lot better.

Posted in Prosperity | No Comments »

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